Former United States Secretary of Defence Donald Rumsfeld might have called Covid an ‘unknown, unknown.’ Nobody saw it coming and when it arrived nobody knew how to react. It was, in economic terms a black swan. Back to the present day and Mr Rumsfeld would probably say, when considering the outlook for 2024, we have a series of known unknowns facing us.
The VAT threshold, the point at which you must register for VAT, has remained at £85,000 for some time despite the fact we’ve seen double digit inflation. There is now concern that this ceiling is stunting economic growth and may be forcing some business to close their doors. The main issue relates to those businesses that have taken an active decision to remain below the threshold because they fear registering for VAT would make them uncompetitive.
In the next blog in his series, HR specialist, Adam Janering MA MCIPD explains how HR can play a pivotal role in helping companies that are facing severe financial challenges and are considering the options available to them.
On Wednesday 22nd November 2023, Chancellor Jeremy Hunt delivered his Autumn Statement. With an election now on the horizon, he was always going to be hunting for some headlines whilst acknowledging that living costs are still high, inflation is still more than double its target rate of 2%, borrowing and debt remain at near record levels and wars rumble on in Ukraine and the Middle East, creating uncertainty and nervousness in global markets. So, what did he announce and what does it mean for you?
Some positive news has emerged regarding the economy as early Spring marked an upturn in the number of mortgage applications being approved. The figures are encouraging as they come off the back of an extended period of below average lending for house purchases, viewed by the government as one of the mainstays of the British economy.
How on earth do you deliver an economy boosting budget when there’s no spare cash for headline grabbing giveaways, you have double digit inflation, you may or may not be heading into a recession, there’s war in Europe and the country is still struggling to recover from the impact of Brexit and the Covid pandemic? That was the uphill challenge facing Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt, when he stood up on 15th March to deliver his Spring Budget.
The number of companies collapsing into insolvency towards the end of 2022 increased significantly. Having already seen 1,948 businesses closing down in October, the November figure was even higher with 2029 shutting up shop. As well as showing an increasing trend for the year, these figures also represent an alarming jump year-on-year and also when we look back to pre-pandemic statistics.
If you have responsibility for budgeting in your business, the events of the last couple of years will undoubtedly have kept you busy and will probably have thrown some challenges your way. You’re not alone. Businesses everywhere are struggling to set and maintain accurate budgets, beset on all sides by world events and economic trends.
So how do you budget effectively, and more to the point accurately, with so many external influences at play?
One of the problems with historical records is they sound grand but often end up obfuscating other historical records. The announcement by The Bank of England on 3rd November that interest rates were to rise by three-quarters-of-one-percent (0.75%) meant that this was the biggest single jump in rates for more than three decades, thirty three years to be precise. Whilst not ignoring the significance of this move, it could allow us to forget that this also brings to an end one of the longest periods of low interest rates in history.
If there’s one thing the recent hokey cokey of Chancellors and fiscal policy has achieved it has to be a rigorous testing of our sentiment towards taxation. Whilst it is hard to imagine that anyone has found this funny or even useful for personal and commercial planning purposes, as a research case study it provides tremendous insight on public opinion and our threshold for taxation.
There was a lot announced in the mini budget that took place on Friday 23rd September 2022 and it has had a significant impact on markets and currencies ever since.
Our summary of the full statement, helps you understand all of the changes, when they will come into effect and how they might apply to your personal or commercial circumstances.
Just when we thought that Covid might have been the final nail in the coffin for cash, it would appear that the cost of living crisis has given it somewhat of a reprieve, even a chance for revival. Data from the Post Office suggests that the amount of cash deposits and withdrawals in July 2022, was the highest it’s been in five years.